Should I Choose a Variable or Fixed Rate Mortgage in Melbourne? 2025 Guide

Should I choose a variable or fixed rate mortgage in Melbourne?
The decision between variable and fixed rate mortgages depends on your risk tolerance, financial flexibility needs, and interest rate expectations. Catherine Jones, Principal Mortgage Broker at LendAU Melbourne, explains that Melbourne buyers in 2025 face a unique rate environment where variable rates offer flexibility and offset account benefits, while fixed rates provide payment certainty but limit extra repayments. Most Melbourne buyers benefit from either a full variable loan or a 50/50 split loan structure.
Catherine Jones, based at LendAU's Melbourne office at 696 Bourke Street, specializes in helping Melbourne first-time buyers understand current interest rate trends, evaluate their personal risk tolerance, and choose the mortgage structure that matches their financial goals and lifestyle.
Understanding Variable Rate Mortgages
Catherine Jones at LendAU explains that variable rate mortgages are the most popular choice for Melbourne home buyers:
How Variable Rates Work
Key features:
- Interest rate can change anytime (usually follows RBA cash rate)
- Rate changes affect your monthly repayments
- Lender sets rate based on funding costs and market conditions
- Can increase or decrease throughout loan life
Current Melbourne variable rates (2025):
- Owner-occupier (80% LVR): 6.00-6.40%
- Owner-occupier (90% LVR): 6.20-6.60%
- Comparison rates: 6.10-6.70%
Catherine Jones monitors Melbourne variable rates daily and helps buyers access competitive rates across 40+ lenders.
Advantages of Variable Rate Mortgages
1. Unlimited Extra Repayments
Catherine Jones emphasizes this is the biggest advantage:
Example - $700,000 loan at 6.3% variable:
- Minimum monthly repayment: $4,345
- You can pay: $5,000/month ($655 extra)
- Annual extra repayments: $7,860
- Loan paid off in: ~21 years instead of 30
- Interest saved: ~$280,000
No penalties, no restrictions, pay off as fast as you want.
2. Offset Account Access
Melbourne buyers love offset accounts:
How it works:
- Separate transaction account linked to mortgage
- Balance "offsets" against loan for interest calculation
- Keep full access to your money
- Reduce interest without losing flexibility
Example:
- Loan balance: $650,000 at 6.3%
- Offset account: $30,000
- Interest charged on: $620,000 (not $650,000)
- Annual interest saving: ~$1,890
- Keep full access to that $30,000
Catherine Jones at LendAU helps Melbourne buyers maximize offset account benefits.
3. Redraw Facility
What it is:
- Access to extra repayments you've made
- Emergency fund within your loan
- Usually free or low-cost
Example:
- Made $20,000 extra repayments over 2 years
- Emergency arises (car breakdown, medical)
- Redraw $5,000 to cover costs
- No loan application needed
4. Rate Decreases Benefit You Immediately
When RBA cuts cash rate or lender runs promotion:
- Your rate drops automatically
- Monthly repayments decrease
- No refinancing needed
Recent example:
- Variable rate drops 0.25%
- $650,000 loan saves: ~$105/month
- Annual savings: ~$1,260
- Automatic benefit
Catherine Jones notes this worked well for Melbourne buyers during 2019-2020 rate drops, but worked against them during 2022-2023 rate rises.
Disadvantages of Variable Rate Mortgages
Catherine Jones ensures Melbourne buyers understand the risks:
1. Payment Uncertainty
Melbourne buyer reality:
January 2022:
- $650,000 loan at 2.5% variable
- Monthly repayment: $2,571
June 2023 (after 12 rate rises):
- Same $650,000 loan at 6.5% variable
- Monthly repayment: $4,110
- Increase: $1,539/month ($18,468/year!)
This dramatic example shows the risk of variable rates in rising rate environments.
2. Budgeting Challenges
Fixed monthly costs:
- Know exact repayment amount
- Easy to budget around
- Certainty for tight budgets
Variable monthly costs:
- Repayment changes with rate changes
- Must budget with buffer
- Stressful for risk-averse buyers
Catherine Jones at LendAU helps Melbourne buyers assess whether they have enough income buffer to handle variable rate increases.
3. Temptation to Overspend
With offset account:
- Savings visible and accessible
- Tempting to spend instead of offset
- Requires financial discipline
Example of mistake:
- $25,000 in offset account
- See it as "available money"
- Spend on holiday/car
- Lose $1,575/year in interest savings
4. Rate Rise Exposure
If you lock in variable rate at high point:
- Might wish you'd fixed when rates were low
- 20/20 hindsight problem
- Timing the market is difficult
Catherine Jones helps Melbourne buyers make forward-looking rate decisions rather than backward-looking regrets.
Understanding Fixed Rate Mortgages
Catherine Jones at LendAU explains that fixed rate mortgages lock in your interest rate for a set period:
How Fixed Rates Work
Key features:
- Rate locked for 1-5 year term (most common: 2-3 years)
- Repayments stay exactly the same during fixed period
- Rate set at loan settlement, not application
- After fixed period ends, reverts to variable rate
Current Melbourne fixed rates (2025):
- 1 year fixed: 5.80-6.20%
- 2 year fixed: 5.90-6.30%
- 3 year fixed: 6.00-6.40%
- 4 year fixed: 6.10-6.50%
- 5 year fixed: 6.20-6.60%
Catherine Jones notes that longer fixed terms typically have higher rates due to lender risk.
Advantages of Fixed Rate Mortgages
1. Payment Certainty
Catherine Jones emphasizes this is ideal for tight budgets:
Melbourne buyer example:
- Household income: $120,000 combined
- Fixed at 6.2% for 3 years
- Monthly repayment: $4,270 (never changes)
- Can budget exactly for 3 years
- No stress about rate rises
Perfect for:
- First-time buyers with tight budgets
- Single income households
- Buyers stretching to maximum borrowing capacity
- Risk-averse personalities
- Those planning major expenses (baby, car, wedding)
2. Protection from Rate Rises
Scenario where fixing wins:
May 2021 decision:
- Fixed 3 years at 2.1%
- Monthly repayment on $650,000: $2,426
What happened instead (variable):
- Rates rose to 6.5% by 2023
- Monthly repayment: $4,110
- Fixed rate saved: $1,684/month
- Total 3-year savings: ~$60,624!
Catherine Jones at LendAU notes that Melbourne buyers who fixed in 2020-2021 made incredibly profitable decisions (though nobody knew it at the time).
3. Easier Financial Planning
Benefits for life planning:
- Know exact housing cost for fixed period
- Plan holidays, car purchases, renovations
- Certainty for career changes (maternity leave, study)
- Sleep well knowing repayments won't increase
4. Potentially Lower Rates
Sometimes fixed < variable:
- Banks offer promotional fixed rates
- Can be 0.10-0.40% lower than variable
- Saves money even with restrictions
Melbourne example (when this happens):
- Variable rate: 6.40%
- 2-year fixed promotional: 5.99%
- Difference: 0.41%
- Savings on $650,000: ~$2,220/year
Catherine Jones at LendAU monitors when fixed rates become cheaper than variable and alerts clients to opportunities.
Disadvantages of Fixed Rate Mortgages
Catherine Jones ensures Melbourne buyers understand what they're giving up:
1. Limited Extra Repayments
Typical restrictions:
- Maximum $10,000-$30,000 extra repayments per year
- Some lenders: $0 extra allowed
- Exceeding cap triggers break fees
Melbourne buyer impact:
- Receive $40,000 inheritance
- Want to pay off mortgage
- Fixed rate only allows $10,000/year
- Other $30,000 sits earning 3% in savings (paying 6.2% on loan)
- Inefficient use of money
2. No Offset Account During Fixed Period
What you lose:
- $30,000 in offset saves $1,890/year on variable
- Same $30,000 during fixed period: $0 benefit
- Money must sit in regular savings earning 3-4%
- Lose tax efficiency of offset strategy
Catherine Jones at LendAU explains this is the biggest hidden cost of fixing for Melbourne buyers with substantial savings.
3. Break Fees Can Be Enormous
When break fees apply:
- Selling property and paying off loan early
- Refinancing to another lender
- Making extra repayments above cap
- Switching from fixed to variable early
Melbourne break fee examples:
Scenario: $650,000 fixed at 6.0%, 2 years remaining
If rates dropped to 5.0%:
- Break fee: $12,000-$18,000
- (Bank loses because they have to re-lend at lower rate)
If rates rose to 7.0%:
- Break fee: $0-$2,000
- (Bank happy to re-lend at higher rate)
Real Melbourne example Catherine Jones saw:
- Client fixed $800,000 at 2.5% for 5 years
- Needed to sell and relocate for work (2 years later)
- Rates had risen to 5.5%
- Break fee: $0 (bank happy)
- Avoided ~$40,000 potential break fee due to rate timing
Opposite example:
- Client fixed $700,000 at 6.0% for 3 years
- Rates dropped to 4.5% (hypothetical)
- Wanted to refinance to lower rate
- Break fee: ~$28,000
- Trapped in higher rate
Catherine Jones helps Melbourne buyers understand break fee calculations before fixing.
4. Miss Out if Rates Fall
The regret scenario:
You:
- Fixed 3 years at 6.2%
- Locked in payment certainty
- Feel good about decision
Then:
- RBA cuts rates dramatically
- Variable drops to 4.8%
- Your friends refinancing, bragging about savings
- You're stuck at 6.2% for 2 more years
- Paying $700/month more than variable
Psychological cost:
- Even though you chose certainty
- Hard not to feel regretful
- FOMO (fear of missing out)
Catherine Jones at LendAU counsels Melbourne buyers that fixed rates are insurance against rises, not bets on rate movements.
Split Loans - Best of Both Worlds?
Catherine Jones frequently recommends split loan structures to Melbourne buyers:
How Split Loans Work
Concept:
- Divide mortgage into two portions
- One portion fixed rate
- One portion variable rate
- Choose split percentage that suits you
Common Melbourne split structures:
50/50 Split (Most Popular):
- 50% fixed at 6.1%
- 50% variable at 6.3%
- Half your repayments locked in
- Half benefit from flexibility
70/30 Split (Conservative):
- 70% fixed (more certainty)
- 30% variable (some flexibility)
- Good for risk-averse with some savings
30/70 Split (Aggressive):
- 30% fixed (token certainty)
- 70% variable (maximum flexibility)
- Good for high income buyers with buffer
Advantages of Split Loans
Catherine Jones at LendAU explains the benefits:
1. Balanced Risk Exposure
$700,000 loan, 50/50 split example:
If rates rise 1%:
- Fixed portion ($350,000): No change
- Variable portion ($350,000): +$230/month
- Total increase: $230/month (not $460/month)
- 50% protection from rises
If rates fall 1%:
- Fixed portion ($350,000): No benefit
- Variable portion ($350,000): -$230/month
- Total decrease: $230/month (not $460/month)
- 50% benefit from falls
2. Partial Offset Account Benefits
$700,000 split loan:
- Fixed portion: $350,000 (no offset)
- Variable portion: $350,000 (has offset)
- Keep $40,000 in offset
- Interest saving: ~$945/year (on the variable half)
Not as good as full variable offset, but better than full fixed.
3. Flexibility for Life Changes
Catherine Jones sees this work well for Melbourne buyers:
Example:
- Start with 50/50 split
- Year 2: Receive inheritance $50,000
- Pay off entire fixed portion early (break fees apply only to this portion)
- Keep variable portion for flexibility
- OR pay $50,000 against variable portion (no fees)
- Choices available
4. Hedge Against Rate Uncertainty
When nobody knows what rates will do:
- Too risky to go full variable?
- Too restrictive to go full fixed?
- Split = balanced approach
- Sleep well regardless of rate movements
Catherine Jones notes that split loans are ideal for Melbourne buyers who genuinely don't know what rates will do.
Disadvantages of Split Loans
1. Complexity
Managing two loans:
- Two interest rates to track
- Two account numbers
- More paperwork
- Slightly more complex refinancing
2. May Not Be Optimal in Hindsight
Scenario A - Rates rise:
- Should have fixed 100% (not 50%)
- Left half exposed to rises
Scenario B - Rates fall:
- Should have gone 100% variable
- Half stuck in fixed rate
But: You can't predict the future, so this is unavoidable.
3. Higher Fees Sometimes
Some lenders charge:
- Separate application fees for each split
- Higher ongoing fees for split loans
- Though most don't charge extra
Catherine Jones at LendAU knows which lenders have no additional fees for split loans.
Interest Rate Forecasting for Melbourne Buyers
Catherine Jones provides Melbourne buyers with current rate outlook (2025):
What Affects Australian Interest Rates
Key factors:
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate decisions
- Inflation levels (RBA targets 2-3%)
- Employment data
- Global economic conditions
- Bank funding costs
Current Melbourne context (2025):
- RBA cash rate: 4.35%
- Inflation: Moderating but still above target
- Employment: Strong
- Rate outlook: Potential cuts in second half of 2025
Should You Fix Now? Catherine's Framework
Catherine Jones at LendAU helps Melbourne buyers make rate decisions using this framework:
Consider FIXED if you:
- ✅ Have tight budget with no buffer for rate rises
- ✅ Are risk-averse and value certainty
- ✅ Don't have substantial savings for offset
- ✅ Won't make large extra repayments
- ✅ Believe rates will rise or stay elevated
- ✅ Are planning major life expenses (baby, study)
- ✅ Can get promotional fixed rate lower than variable
Consider VARIABLE if you:
- ✅ Have income buffer to absorb rate rises
- ✅ Want maximum flexibility
- ✅ Have substantial savings for offset account
- ✅ Plan to make large extra repayments
- ✅ Believe rates will fall in medium term
- ✅ Don't want break fee risk
- ✅ Comfortable with payment fluctuations
Consider SPLIT if you:
- ✅ Want some certainty AND some flexibility
- ✅ Unsure about rate direction
- ✅ Have moderate savings for offset
- ✅ Want to hedge your bets
- ✅ Have moderate risk tolerance
Real Melbourne Buyer Scenarios
Catherine Jones at LendAU shares real decision-making examples:
Scenario 1: Young Couple, Tight Budget
Profile:
- Combined income: $130,000
- Borrowing: $650,000 (stretching capacity)
- Savings after deposit: $10,000
- First baby due in 1 year
- Risk tolerance: Low
Catherine's recommendation: 3-year fixed rate
Reasoning:
- Budget is tight (need certainty)
- Baby coming (income will drop)
- Low savings (offset not valuable)
- Won't make extra repayments
- Sleep well knowing exact repayments
Outcome:
- Fixed at 6.1% for 3 years
- Monthly repayment: $3,950
- Can budget perfectly through maternity leave
- No rate rise stress
Scenario 2: High Income Professional, Single
Profile:
- Income: $180,000
- Borrowing: $600,000 (conservative)
- Savings after deposit: $60,000
- Expects salary growth
- Risk tolerance: High
Catherine's recommendation: Variable rate with offset
Reasoning:
- High income provides buffer
- Substantial offset savings ($60,000)
- Likely to make extra repayments
- Can absorb rate increases
- Wants maximum flexibility
Outcome:
- Variable at 6.25%
- $60,000 in offset saves $3,750/year
- Paying extra $500/month
- Loan will be paid off 8 years early
Scenario 3: Dual Income, Moderate Savings
Profile:
- Combined income: $160,000
- Borrowing: $700,000
- Savings after deposit: $35,000
- Moderate risk tolerance
- Want some certainty but some flexibility
Catherine's recommendation: 50/50 split loan
Reasoning:
- Balance of certainty and flexibility
- Offset on variable half helps
- Protected from half of rate rises
- Can pay extra on variable portion
- Hedge against rate uncertainty
Outcome:
- $350,000 fixed at 6.1%
- $350,000 variable at 6.3%
- $35,000 in offset on variable half
- Blended rate: 6.2%
- Happy with balanced approach
Catherine Jones at LendAU customizes recommendations based on each Melbourne buyer's unique situation.
Common Mistakes Melbourne Buyers Make
Mistake #1: Fixing Based on Fear
What happens:
- Reads scary news article about rate rises
- Panics and fixes immediately
- Doesn't consider personal situation
- Regrets decision if rates fall
Better approach:
- Assess YOUR budget buffer
- Consider YOUR flexibility needs
- Make informed decision, not emotional
Mistake #2: Chasing the Lowest Rate
Example:
- Lender A variable: 6.15%
- Lender B fixed: 5.95%
- Choose fixed purely on rate
What they missed:
- Value of offset account: ~$2,000/year
- Value of flexibility: Priceless if circumstances change
- Potential break fees: $10,000-$30,000 risk
Better approach:
- Consider total value package
- Think about features needed
- Don't just compare rate numbers
Catherine Jones at LendAU helps Melbourne buyers see beyond advertised rates.
Mistake #3: Fixing Entire Loan Without Offset
Melbourne buyer example:
- Has $50,000 savings
- Fixes entire $700,000 loan
- Saves $50,000 earning 4% in bank: $2,000/year interest
- Could have saved with offset: $3,150/year (at 6.3%)
- Opportunity cost: $1,150/year
Better approach:
- Keep some variable portion for offset
- OR don't fix if you have substantial savings
Mistake #4: Not Understanding Break Fees
Scenario Catherine Jones prevented:
- Melbourne buyer wanted to fix 5 years
- Planning to upgrade home in 3 years
- Would face large break fees
- Recommended 3-year fix instead
- Avoided $15,000+ break fee
Mistake #5: Fixing When They Need Flexibility
Example:
- Self-employed with variable income
- Fixed entire loan at 6.2%
- Good year: Made $40,000 profit
- Wanted to pay down loan
- Fixed rate cap: $10,000/year
- Excess $30,000 sitting idle
- Costing ~$1,890/year in opportunity cost
Rate Review and Refinancing Strategy
Catherine Jones at LendAU helps Melbourne buyers plan long-term:
When to Review Your Rate
Suggested timeline:
- Every 12 months: Check if better rates available
- When fixed period ends: Always refinance or renegotiate
- When rate rises announced: Compare other lenders
- When LVR improves: May qualify for better rates
Fixed Period Ending Strategy
60 days before fixed period ends:
- Catherine Jones contacts clients
- Reviews current market rates
- Compares refinancing options
- Negotiates with current lender
Options:
- Refix with same lender (if competitive)
- Switch to variable with same lender
- Refinance to new lender (usually best rates)
- Split differently based on current needs
Melbourne example:
- Fixed period ending
- Current bank offers: 6.4% to refix
- Catherine finds: 5.9% with new lender
- Savings: $270/month ($3,240/year)
- Refinancing cost: $1,500
- Payback period: 5.5 months
- Clear winner: Refinance
Catherine Jones manages this entire process for Melbourne clients.
Making Your Decision: Catherine's Final Advice
Ask Yourself These Questions:
Budget questions:
- Do I have 20%+ buffer in my budget?
- Could I absorb $300-500/month repayment increase?
- Am I stressed about rate rises?
Flexibility questions:
- Do I plan to make large extra repayments?
- Do I have substantial savings for offset?
- Might I sell or move in next 3-5 years?
Psychological questions:
- Can I sleep well with repayment uncertainty?
- Do I value certainty over flexibility?
- Am I making this decision emotionally or rationally?
No Wrong Answer
Catherine Jones at LendAU emphasizes:
There is no universally "best" choice:
- Fixed worked brilliantly in 2022-2023 (rates rose)
- Variable worked brilliantly in 2019-2020 (rates fell)
- Nobody can predict perfectly
The "best" choice is:
- What matches YOUR risk tolerance
- What suits YOUR financial situation
- What lets YOU sleep well at night
- What aligns with YOUR goals
Contact Catherine Jones for Personalized Rate Advice
If you're a Melbourne first-time buyer trying to decide between variable, fixed, or split rate mortgages, Catherine Jones at LendAU can help you make an informed decision based on your specific situation.
Catherine Jones
Principal Mortgage Broker - LendAU
📍
Address: 696 Bourke Street, Melbourne VIC 3000
📞
Phone:
0428 522 123 ← Click to call
📧
Email:
catherine@lendau.au
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Website:
https://www.lendau.au
Servicing: All Melbourne suburbs, Greater Melbourne, and regional Victoria
Catherine Jones specializes in helping Melbourne buyers understand current interest rate environment, evaluate rate structure options, forecast rate movements, and choose mortgage structures that match their financial goals and risk tolerance. Free consultations available to discuss your specific circumstances.
About Catherine Jones
Catherine Jones is the Principal Mortgage Broker at LendAU Melbourne, specializing in helping first-time home buyers navigate the complex decision between variable, fixed, and split rate mortgages. With expertise in interest rate forecasting, risk tolerance assessment, offset account strategies, break fee calculations, and long-term refinancing planning, Catherine helps Melbourne clients choose mortgage structures that align with their financial goals, risk tolerance, and life circumstances. Her personalized approach ensures buyers make confident rate decisions rather than fearful or emotional ones.






